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Flood Forecast & Risk Management
WP "Short-range plain flood forecasting and risk management":
The objective of this WP is to develop, demonstrate and validate a prototype of an integrated flood risk management service, supporting flood prevention, forecast and alert as well as crisis / post-crisis management.
For the improvement of crisis management related to floods the the following sub-services - targeted at local users such as water resources managers and rescue services - are provided:
Partners:
BfG: Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde (Federal Institute of Hydrology), Koblenz
Infoterra GmbH, Friedrichshafen
IMK: Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung (Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research), Karlsruhe
IWS: Institut für Wasserbau (Institute of Hydraulic Engineering), Stuttgart
geomer GmbH, Heidelberg
IÖR: Leibniz-Institut für ökologische Raumentwicklung e. V. (Leibniz Institute of Ecological and Regional Development), Dresden
BLfU: Bavarian Environment Agency, Munich
Service Portfolio:
The service portfolio comprises flood risk mapping, pre-warning and flood forecast (lead time < 3d), flood event analysis and damage assessment. Key aspect is the integration and operational provision of information for better support of decision makers.
Main element of this sub-project is the development and application of meteorological as well as hydrological ensemble flood forecasting approaches, and their appropriate use in combination with flood risk management.
The benefits of addressing the uncertainties which are inherently present in the operational flood forecasting chain by this methodology are studied in close cooperation with end-users ranging from operational flood warning centres to water resources managers as well as rescue services.
A prototype of a local up to regional integrated flood risk management system will be developed on the basis of the requirements and organisational structures of the Bavarian authorities responsible for the Upper Danube area.
Description of the Service:
The enhancement and coupling of meteorological and hydrological models under the consideration of uncertainties modeling is the key factor for advancing the flood forecasts.
The meteorological model is refined to a high spatial resolution of 1km x 1km, the hydrological model is improved by applying a new runoff-model and integrat-ing land use classes as an additional input parameter.
Flood risk mapping and damage assessment service provides the user with a multitude of information and analysis tools such as water extent maps or accessibility analysis. The analysis of data sets enables the user to estimate the endangered population and the potential damage in case of a flood.
A Flood Information Service is set up, which integrates satellite-based and ancillary data allowing the user to easily access the data and perform data analysis.
For more details see the respective sub-services (cf. navigation bar on the rigth):
High-resolved Weather Forecast
Ensemble Short-term Flood Forecast
Land Cover Service for Water Management
Flood Risk Mapping and Damage Assessment
Flood Information System
End-users:
Bavarian Environment Agency
Regional and local services in charge of water and flood risk management
Civil protection units
Test Site:
Catchment of the River Iller in the Bavarian Danube basin (Germany):
Fig.: Bavarian part of the River Danube with pilot catchment Iller.